Monday, December 15, 2003
FITTING
Okay, so it only vaguely ties into Sunday's events for the Seattle sports fan, but I'm posting part of a post of mine from 14 Sept at 10:37pm. It had to do with some meaningless research on how it seemed like no two Seattle sports teams would win on the same day. Here's what I came up with...
So I decided to test out my hypothesis that no two Seattle pro sports teams win on the same day. Tonight, I looked through the schedules of all the Mariners and Sonics (Seahawks will come later) seasons dating from 1977 to 2002. It took a while. I have no life. The results--
From my count, on a total of 325.5 occurrences (the Mariners had a doubleheader somewhere in the early years) of the Sonics and Mariners playing on the same day, the two teams have won on the same day 87 times, lost on the same day 75 times, and have split (one or the other, like the Mariners and Seahawks today) 163.5 times.
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams win: 26.7%
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams lose: 23.0%
And finally, the percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and the teams split: 50.2%
So to finally test the hypothesis for the same-day scenario, we add together those bottom two percentages and say:
if the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day, there is a 73.2% probability that some scenario will occur other than one having both teams winning.
Okay, here's how it ties into yesterday's events --
The Mariners lost out on Tejada.
The Seahawks now cannot win the division and had some brutal calls and non-calls go against them in Sunday's game.
...THE SONICS WON. (though not Seattle, the Vancouver Canucks also won 2-1 in OT, which I'll get around to somewhat covering later tonight.)
Anticlimactic, but fitting.
I'll probably get bored sometime during this break and chug the Seahawks numbers through with the other two teams.
So I decided to test out my hypothesis that no two Seattle pro sports teams win on the same day. Tonight, I looked through the schedules of all the Mariners and Sonics (Seahawks will come later) seasons dating from 1977 to 2002. It took a while. I have no life. The results--
From my count, on a total of 325.5 occurrences (the Mariners had a doubleheader somewhere in the early years) of the Sonics and Mariners playing on the same day, the two teams have won on the same day 87 times, lost on the same day 75 times, and have split (one or the other, like the Mariners and Seahawks today) 163.5 times.
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams win: 26.7%
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams lose: 23.0%
And finally, the percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and the teams split: 50.2%
So to finally test the hypothesis for the same-day scenario, we add together those bottom two percentages and say:
if the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day, there is a 73.2% probability that some scenario will occur other than one having both teams winning.
Okay, here's how it ties into yesterday's events --
The Mariners lost out on Tejada.
The Seahawks now cannot win the division and had some brutal calls and non-calls go against them in Sunday's game.
...THE SONICS WON. (though not Seattle, the Vancouver Canucks also won 2-1 in OT, which I'll get around to somewhat covering later tonight.)
Anticlimactic, but fitting.
I'll probably get bored sometime during this break and chug the Seahawks numbers through with the other two teams.
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