Monday, September 15, 2003
HYPOTHESIS PART 2
This is supplementary to the first presentation of the hypothesis, thanks to the input of a comment from "high schooler," who did not leave his/her name, but did point out fairly simple probability results.
Here is my further amendment to the results. It has to do not just with the numbers themselves, but when they happened...
Now of course different Seattle teams have had different (and opposite) great stretches and the like. The Sonics had those two runs to the Finals against the Bullets early in the Mariners' existence, and had the runs with Kemp and Payton before the Mariners were truly cared about in Seattle. Likewise, the Mariners have turned it on the last few years and the Sonics haven't been quite as good.
However, some of the Mariners wins in April and May of the good Sonics years come on the same days as some BRUTAL Sonics playoff losses. For example:
-- on May 14, 1989, the Mariners beat the Red Sox 4-3 at the Kingdome while the Sonics got swept at the Coliseum by the Lakers in the second round 97-95.
-- On May 28, 1993, the Mariners beat Detroit 4-3 in 10 innings at the Kingdome while the Sonics lost Game 3 of the Western Finals at the Coliseum to Phoenix 104-97 (not the game where Barkley shot 6000 free throws), putting them down 2-1 in the series.
And in possibly the most painful of these so far (I wish it would have happened during the Nuggets series, but it didn't)
-- on May 9th and 16th of 1996, the Mariners won 3-2 at Kansas City and 7-6 against the White Sox in the Kingdome. The Sonics got whooped at the Coliseum 108-86 to stare down a 3-0 deficit in the NBA Finals against the Bulls on the 9th and bowed out to Michael Jordan and the Bulls in Game 6 on the 16th 87-75.
That's to rebut the fairly constructive criticism (please leave your e-mail address next time; have some guts) of "high schooler," whose name just may be antagonistic in nature. If so, watch it.
Here is my further amendment to the results. It has to do not just with the numbers themselves, but when they happened...
Now of course different Seattle teams have had different (and opposite) great stretches and the like. The Sonics had those two runs to the Finals against the Bullets early in the Mariners' existence, and had the runs with Kemp and Payton before the Mariners were truly cared about in Seattle. Likewise, the Mariners have turned it on the last few years and the Sonics haven't been quite as good.
However, some of the Mariners wins in April and May of the good Sonics years come on the same days as some BRUTAL Sonics playoff losses. For example:
-- on May 14, 1989, the Mariners beat the Red Sox 4-3 at the Kingdome while the Sonics got swept at the Coliseum by the Lakers in the second round 97-95.
-- On May 28, 1993, the Mariners beat Detroit 4-3 in 10 innings at the Kingdome while the Sonics lost Game 3 of the Western Finals at the Coliseum to Phoenix 104-97 (not the game where Barkley shot 6000 free throws), putting them down 2-1 in the series.
And in possibly the most painful of these so far (I wish it would have happened during the Nuggets series, but it didn't)
-- on May 9th and 16th of 1996, the Mariners won 3-2 at Kansas City and 7-6 against the White Sox in the Kingdome. The Sonics got whooped at the Coliseum 108-86 to stare down a 3-0 deficit in the NBA Finals against the Bulls on the 9th and bowed out to Michael Jordan and the Bulls in Game 6 on the 16th 87-75.
That's to rebut the fairly constructive criticism (please leave your e-mail address next time; have some guts) of "high schooler," whose name just may be antagonistic in nature. If so, watch it.
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