Sunday, September 14, 2003
IT MAY NOT BE RESEARCH, BUT IT'S DEFINITELY TIME-KILLING
So I decided to test out my hypothesis that no two Seattle pro sports teams win on the same day. Tonight, I looked through the schedules of all the Mariners and Sonics (Seahawks will come later) seasons dating from 1977 to 2002. It took a while. I have no life. The results--
From my count, on a total of 325.5 occurrences (the Mariners had a doubleheader somewhere in the early years) of the Sonics and Mariners playing on the same day, the two teams have won on the same day 87 times, lost on the same day 75 times, and have split (one or the other, like the Mariners and Seahawks today) 163.5 times.
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams win: 26.7%
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams lose: 23.0%
And finally, the percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and the teams split: 50.2%
So to finally test the hypothesis for the same-day scenario, we add together those bottom two percentages and say:
if the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day, there is a 73.2% probability that some scenario will occur other than one having both teams winning.
I'll cram these things together with the Seahawk figures sometime, I just have to find a site that lists the dates of the Seahawks games.
Tomorrow, I blast the Mariners game today with the game notes.
And big kudos once again to the Ranger bullpen for coughing it up to Oakland again and basically laying down for Oakland so the Mariners have no chance in hell at the division title, and therefore the playoffs. Thanks a bunch to the Rangers. And they'll probably throw everything and the kitchen sink at the Mariners.
From my count, on a total of 325.5 occurrences (the Mariners had a doubleheader somewhere in the early years) of the Sonics and Mariners playing on the same day, the two teams have won on the same day 87 times, lost on the same day 75 times, and have split (one or the other, like the Mariners and Seahawks today) 163.5 times.
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams win: 26.7%
The percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and both teams lose: 23.0%
And finally, the percentage of when the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day and the teams split: 50.2%
So to finally test the hypothesis for the same-day scenario, we add together those bottom two percentages and say:
if the Sonics and Mariners play on the same day, there is a 73.2% probability that some scenario will occur other than one having both teams winning.
I'll cram these things together with the Seahawk figures sometime, I just have to find a site that lists the dates of the Seahawks games.
Tomorrow, I blast the Mariners game today with the game notes.
And big kudos once again to the Ranger bullpen for coughing it up to Oakland again and basically laying down for Oakland so the Mariners have no chance in hell at the division title, and therefore the playoffs. Thanks a bunch to the Rangers. And they'll probably throw everything and the kitchen sink at the Mariners.
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